Manchester Unitedvs
Athletic Club
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 5/8/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Manchester United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Athletic Club are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manchester United
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80