Manchester United U21vs
Leicester City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchester United U21 4-1 Leicester City U21
Original prediction
Manchester United U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.1% | 42.5% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.2% | 26.7% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.7% | 30.8% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Manchester United U21
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Manchester United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80