Manchester United U21vs
Brentford U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchester United U21 3-2 Brentford U21
Original prediction
Manchester United U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.2% | 46.0% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.1% | 21.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.78 | 18.6% | 32.3% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Manchester United U21
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Manchester United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20