GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/15/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manchester City W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Manchester City W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Bristol City W are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester City W hold a 64.6-point power-rating edge (81.7 v 17.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 94.2% in the FA WSL, while Manchester City W holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manchester City W

Probability

94.2%

Model confidence

94.2%

Manchester City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manchester City WDW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Bristol City WLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Manchester City WBristol City W
92.4Attack30.3
77.3Defence0.0
83.3Form9.1
81.7Power17.1
4.50xG0.40
View match centre →