Manchester Cityvs
Napoli
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 11/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Manchester City
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Manchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Manchester CityWLWWD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NapoliWWDWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Manchester CityNapoli
93.3Attack50.0
56.7Defence45.8
86.7Form45.8
80.3Power49.6
3.12xG1.09