Manchester Cityvs
Manchester United
COMPLETEDEngland · Community Shield · 8/10/2024, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Manchester City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Manchester United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Community Shield, while Manchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manchester City
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Manchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60