Manchester City U21vs
Manchester United U21
SCHEDULEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 4/5/2027, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-4 (7%), 2-5 (6%), 3-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.9% | 30.0% | -21.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.3% | 16.6% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 26.8% | 53.4% | 26.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–47%
- 2.2–56%
- 3.3–46%
Predicted outcome
Manchester United U21
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Manchester United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Manchester City U21WLWLW
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Manchester United U21WWLWW
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Manchester City U21Manchester United U21
53.3Attack92.1
16.7Defence22.2
30.0Form46.0
34.6Power51.6
2.67xG4.50