Manchester City U19vs
PSG U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSG U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchester City U19 0-2 PSG U19
Original prediction
PSG U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.9% | 35.0% | -14.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.7% | 24.7% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.4% | 40.3% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
PSG U19
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
PSG U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60