Manchester City U19vs
AEK Athens U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester City U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchester City U19 1-1 AEK Athens U19
Original prediction
Manchester City U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 80.8% | 43.0% | -37.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.39 | 12.3% | 22.4% | 10.1 pts |
| Away | 13.20 | 6.9% | 34.5% | 27.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 6.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Manchester City U19
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Manchester City U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50