Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchego 1-0 Toledo
Original prediction
Manchego
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Manchego
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Manchego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ManchegoLWWWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ToledoWWWLD
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ManchegoToledo
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
83.3Power50.0
2.15xG1.31