Manchegovs
Marchamalo
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · 9/27/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchego 3-2 Marchamalo
Original prediction
Manchego
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Manchego
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Manchego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ManchegoWDDLW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MarchamaloWWWLL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ManchegoMarchamalo
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24