Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 18 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Manchego
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Manchego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ManchegoWLWWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IllescasLWWWD
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ManchegoIllescas
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
83.3Power88.7
1.83xG1.51