Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchego 1-0 Almansa
Original prediction
Manchego
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Manchego
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Manchego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ManchegoWWDDL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AlmansaW
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
ManchegoAlmansa
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
1.77xG1.67