Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manauara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Manaus FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Manauara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Manauara hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.0% in the Serie D, while Manauara holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manauara
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
24.0%
Manauara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40