Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Manaus FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while GAS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Manaus FC hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00