GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/11/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Manauara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.8% in the Copa Do Brasil, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.8%

Model confidence

33.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ManauaraWDLWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Fortaleza ECWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ManauaraFortaleza EC
50.0Attack52.4
66.7Defence57.1
50.0Form76.2
56.2Power65.1
1.21xG1.19
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