Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Manama are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Sitra are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Manama hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Premier League, while Manama holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manama
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Manama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00