Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ahli · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manama 1-3 Al Ahli
Original prediction
Al Ahli
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Al Ahli
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Al Ahli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ManamaLLDLW
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al AhliLWDDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ManamaAl Ahli
33.3Attack22.2
0.0Defence66.7
11.1Form44.4
19.5Power47.5
1.10xG1.38