Primera DivisionPrimera Division
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 12:37
Managua

Managua

Home
W
21
Full time
Rancho Santana

Rancho Santana

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
53% confidence
Managua(53%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Managua
53%
Draw
24%
Rancho Santana
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Managua
73
Rancho Santana
9
Defence
Managua
91
Rancho Santana
27
Momentum
Managua
100
Rancho Santana
0
Danger (xG)
Managua
1.80
Rancho Santana
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Managua)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Rancho Santana)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Managua)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Rancho Santana)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ManaguaManagua
W
Rancho SantanaRancho Santana
L

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
Managua53%
Draw24%
Rancho Santana23%

Managua leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Managua head into this in Primera Division fixture in mixed form (W), while Rancho Santana arrive in mixed form (L). Managua have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Rancho Santana over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Managua's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Rancho Santana defence (27/100), while Rancho Santana's attack is up against a watertight Managua backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Managua's favour.

Managua have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Rancho Santana have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Managua have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Managua to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Managua 5314%, Draw 2411%, Rancho Santana 2275%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Managua 1Draws 00 Rancho Santana
Avg goals: 2.0
12 Jul 2026
Managua
W20
Rancho Santana

Recent form

Managua

Managua

W
vs Rancho Santana
12 Jul 2026
20
Rancho Santana

Rancho Santana

L
@ Managua
12 Jul 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Managua vs Rancho Santana?

GoalVio's model predicts Managua to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Managua vs Rancho Santana?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Managua vs Rancho Santana?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Managua vs Rancho Santana?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more