Primera DivisionPrimera Division
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Managua

Managua

Home
W
30
Full time
Jalapa

Jalapa

Away
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Managua(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Managua
39%
Draw
25%
Jalapa
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Managua)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Managua)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ManaguaManagua
W

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Managua39%
Draw25%
Jalapa36%

Managua leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Managua head into this in Primera Division fixture in mixed form (W), while Jalapa arrive in unknown form.

Managua have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Jalapa have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Managua and Jalapa in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Managua to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Managua 3898%, Draw 2544%, Jalapa 3559%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Managua

Managua

W
vs Rancho Santana
12 Jul 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Managua vs Jalapa?

GoalVio's model predicts Managua to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Managua vs Jalapa?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Managua vs Jalapa?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Managua vs Jalapa?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more