Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Managua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Managua are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Diriangén are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Managua hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (94.1 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Primera Division, while Managua holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Managua
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Managua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 2.33/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00