Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uberaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mamoré are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Uberaba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberaba hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Mineiro - 2, while Uberaba holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uberaba
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Uberaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60