Mamelodi Sundowns Wvs
UWC W
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Super League Women · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mamelodi Sundowns W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mamelodi Sundowns W 1-0 UWC W, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mamelodi Sundowns W 0-0 UWC W
Original prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 84.9% | 55.8% | -29.2 pts |
| Draw | 8.23 | 11.0% | 24.4% | 13.4 pts |
| Away | 22.00 | 4.1% | 19.9% | 15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 7.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.2 pts
Projected Score
Mamelodi Sundowns W 1–0 UWC W
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Mamelodi Sundowns W
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Mamelodi Sundowns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 0 · avg 3.40/0.00
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20