Mamelodi Sundownsvs
Stellenbosch
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 8 Cup · 8/28/2024, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mamelodi Sundowns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mamelodi Sundowns are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Stellenbosch are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamelodi Sundowns hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the 8 Cup, while Mamelodi Sundowns holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mamelodi Sundowns
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Mamelodi Sundowns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20