GGOALVIO

South-Africa · 8 Cup · 8/11/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mamelodi Sundowns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mamelodi Sundowns are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Polokwane City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamelodi Sundowns hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the 8 Cup, while Mamelodi Sundowns holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mamelodi Sundowns

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Mamelodi Sundowns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mamelodi SundownsWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Polokwane CityWDDDW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 0.40/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Mamelodi SundownsPolokwane City
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
2.10xG1.26
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