GGOALVIO

South-Africa · 8 Cup · 8/12/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mamelodi Sundowns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mamelodi Sundowns are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Moroka Swallows are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamelodi Sundowns hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the 8 Cup, while Mamelodi Sundowns holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mamelodi Sundowns

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Mamelodi Sundowns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mamelodi SundownsWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Moroka SwallowsLD

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Mamelodi SundownsMoroka Swallows
100.0Attack0.0
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
1.91xG1.17
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