Mamelodi Sundownsvs
Milford FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mamelodi Sundowns · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Milford FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Milford FC
Original prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 76.4% | 53.0% | -23.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.70 | 16.1% | 25.8% | 9.7 pts |
| Away | 12.28 | 7.5% | 21.2% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.4 pts
Projected Score
Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Milford FC
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Mamelodi Sundowns
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Mamelodi Sundowns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60