Mamelodi Sundownsvs
Amazulu
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 8/26/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mamelodi Sundowns · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mamelodi Sundowns 5-2 Amazulu
Original prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.8% | 47.0% | -23.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.71 | 19.4% | 27.2% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 9.34 | 9.8% | 25.7% | 16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Mamelodi Sundowns
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Mamelodi Sundowns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00