Malvern Townvs
Frome Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frome Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malvern Town 2-0 Frome Town
Original prediction
Frome Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.0% | 19.8% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.0% | 18.7% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.0% | 61.5% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Frome Town
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Frome Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40