GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Malvern Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chippenham Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Malvern Town hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Non League Premier - Southern South, favouring a draw with 11.2% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.6%

Model confidence

11.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Malvern TownDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chippenham TownLLLDW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Malvern TownChippenham Town
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power15.3
1.92xG1.28
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