GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Malvern Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 59.3-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Malvern TownDLDLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chertsey TownDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Malvern TownChertsey Town
66.7Attack83.3
0.0Defence83.3
16.7Form100.0
30.3Power89.7
1.39xG2.10
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