Malta Wvs
Luxembourg W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malta W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malta W 1-0 Luxembourg W
Original prediction
Malta W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.3% | 42.0% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.2% | 27.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.5% | 30.7% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Malta W
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Malta W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 21 · avg 0.80/4.20
GF 1 · GA 29 · avg 0.20/5.80