Maltavs
Liechtenstein
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/27/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malta 2-0 Liechtenstein
Original prediction
Malta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 75.6% | 57.5% | -18.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.24 | 17.6% | 24.1% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 13.52 | 6.8% | 18.4% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Malta
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Malta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MaltaWWLLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LiechtensteinLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MaltaLiechtenstein
33.3Attack11.1
100.0Defence44.4
100.0Form27.8
83.3Power31.4
1.76xG0.73