Malta U21vs
Northern Ireland U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northern Ireland U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malta U21 0-4 Northern Ireland U21
Original prediction
Northern Ireland U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.29 | 8.8% | 35.0% | 26.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.68 | 16.0% | 21.1% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 75.1% | 44.0% | -31.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Northern Ireland U21
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Northern Ireland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 19 · avg 0.20/3.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40