Malta U21vs
Germany U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Germany U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (14%), 0-4 (14%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malta U21 1-4 Germany U21
Original prediction
Germany U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 56.00 | 1.7% | 4.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 43.25 | 2.2% | 7.5% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.01 | 96.0% | 87.9% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–314%
- 2.0–414%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Germany U21
Probability
87.9%
Model confidence
87.9%
Germany U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 17 · avg 0.20/3.40
GF 17 · GA 0 · avg 3.40/0.00