GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/21/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Malmo FF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sigma Olomouc are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Malmo FF hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Malmo FF holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Malmo FF

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Malmo FFWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sigma OlomoucWLWDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Malmo FFSigma Olomouc
41.7Attack0.0
29.2Defence16.7
20.8Form0.0
33.7Power13.2
1.62xG1.52
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