Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Malmo FF are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Rangers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rangers hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rangers
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60