GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/6/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Panathinaikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Malmo FF are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Panathinaikos holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Panathinaikos

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Malmo FFDLDWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
PanathinaikosLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Malmo FFPanathinaikos
41.7Attack38.9
29.2Defence44.4
20.8Form22.2
33.7Power37.2
1.45xG1.57
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