Malmo FFvs
Orgryte IS
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/13/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malmo FF 4-1 Orgryte IS
Original prediction
Malmo FF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 66.8% | 71.9% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 18.9% | 15.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 6.52 | 14.3% | 12.3% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Malmo FF
Probability
71.9%
Model confidence
71.9%
Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Malmo FFDWWLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Orgryte ISDLWDL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Malmo FFOrgryte IS
55.0Attack38.3
50.0Defence28.3
50.0Form25.0
52.8Power32.5
2.70xG0.99