Malmo FFvs
Ludogorets
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Malmo FF are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ludogorets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00