Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Malmo FF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kalmar FF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Malmo FF hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Malmo FF holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malmo FF
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
13.1%
Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60