AllsvenskanAllsvenskan
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Malmo FF

Malmo FF

Home
D
12
Full time
IF Elfsborg

IF Elfsborg

Away
LL
Eleda Stadium
GoalVio prediction
57% confidence
Malmo FF(57%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Malmo FF
57%
Draw
25%
IF Elfsborg
19%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Malmo FF
73
IF Elfsborg
18
Defence
Malmo FF
27
IF Elfsborg
46
Momentum
Malmo FF
33
IF Elfsborg
0
Danger (xG)
Malmo FF
1.80
IF Elfsborg
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Malmo FF)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (IF Elfsborg)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Malmo FF)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (IF Elfsborg)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Malmo FFMalmo FF
WWDLL
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
LLD

Probability breakdown

57% confidence
Malmo FF57%
Draw25%
IF Elfsborg19%

Malmo FF leads with 57% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Malmo FF head into this in Allsvenskan fixture at Eleda Stadium in mixed form (D), while IF Elfsborg arrive in mixed form (LL). Malmo FF have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for IF Elfsborg over 2 games.

The model rates Malmo FF's attack at 73/100 against a 46/100 IF Elfsborg defence, and IF Elfsborg's attack at 18/100 against a 27/100 Malmo FF backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Malmo FF have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. IF Elfsborg have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Malmo FF have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. IF Elfsborg have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match.

There is no head-to-head data between Malmo FF and IF Elfsborg in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Malmo FF to win with 57% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Malmo FF 5679%, Draw 2466%, IF Elfsborg 1854%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Malmo FF

Malmo FF

W
vs IFK Goteborg
12 Jul 2026
40
xG 0.0
W
@ Degerfors IF
4 Jul 2026
10
xG 0.0
D
vs FC Midtjylland
26 Jun 2026
22
L
@ Hammarby FF
17 May 2026
14
L
@ Mjallby AIF
14 Mar 2026
04
IF Elfsborg

IF Elfsborg

L
@ Gais
12 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.0
L
vs Hammarby FF
5 Jul 2026
12
xG 0.0
D
@ Halmstad
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?

GoalVio's model predicts Malmo FF to win with 57% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more