Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Malmo FF are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Halmstad are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Malmo FF hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 26.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Allsvenskan, while Malmo FF holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malmo FF
Probability
80.6%
Model confidence
11.4%
Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60