GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/12/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Galatasaray · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Malmo FF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Galatasaray are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Galatasaray hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Galatasaray holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Galatasaray

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Galatasaray has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Malmo FFWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GalatasarayWDDWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Malmo FFGalatasaray
41.7Attack66.7
29.2Defence0.0
20.8Form50.0
33.7Power42.7
1.47xG1.98
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