Malmo FFvs
FK Crvena Zvezda
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Malmo FF are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Crvena Zvezda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80