GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Malmo FF are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Crvena Zvezda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Malmo FFWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Malmo FFFK Crvena Zvezda
41.7Attack26.7
29.2Defence76.7
20.8Form56.7
33.7Power56.4
0.69xG1.05
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