GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Malmo FF are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Dinamo Zagreb are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Zagreb hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Dinamo Zagreb holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Zagreb

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Malmo FFWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo ZagrebWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Malmo FFDinamo Zagreb
41.7Attack66.7
29.2Defence16.7
20.8Form50.0
33.7Power45.8
1.46xG2.00
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