Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BK Hacken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malmo FF 0-1 BK Hacken
Original prediction
BK Hacken
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 36.2% | 36.8% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.8% | 22.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 38.0% | 40.3% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
BK Hacken
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
BK Hacken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Malmo FFWWLWD
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BK HackenWWWDD
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Malmo FFBK Hacken
55.1Attack60.9
52.2Defence56.5
52.2Form56.5
54.1Power58.5
1.52xG1.62