Malmo FFvs
AIK Stockholm
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malmo FF 0-0 AIK Stockholm
Original prediction
Malmo FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 55.1% | 48.6% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 23.1% | 21.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.8% | 29.7% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Malmo FF
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80