Malmö FF Wvs
St. Pölten W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmö FF W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malmö FF W 3-0 St. Pölten W
Original prediction
Malmö FF W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.5% | 49.1% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.2% | 26.1% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 5.89 | 15.3% | 24.8% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Malmö FF W
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Malmö FF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00