Malmö FF Wvs
Rosengård W
COMPLETEDSweden · Damallsvenskan · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmö FF W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Malmö FF W 1-0 Rosengård W, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Malmö FF W 1-0 Rosengård W
Original prediction
Malmö FF W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.7% | 70.0% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.3% | 19.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 6.06 | 15.0% | 10.3% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Projected Score
Malmö FF W 1–0 Rosengård W
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Malmö FF W
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
70.0%
Malmö FF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Malmö FF WWLWWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Rosengård WWWLWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Malmö FF WRosengård W
65.0Attack35.0
76.7Defence58.3
60.0Form33.3
65.0Power43.9
1.87xG0.50